Replacing the San Onofre Nuclear Plant Without More Dirty Power Plants

Devra Wang, Director, California Energy Program, San Francisco

Note: Southern California Edison announced today (6/7/2013) that it is permanently closing the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station but as I recently noted, the plant's absence has not affected reliable electric service in California.

The state's electric system is very likely to be reliable this summer, even though a massive nuclear power plant in Southern California is still down. But instead of firing up retired, dirty generators to cover the gap like last summer, this year's replacement will be smarter and cleaner.
That recent news from the California Independent System Operator, which operates the grid, will be a breath of fresh air for Southern Californians contending with the region's infamous smog.

The San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station, known as SONGS, has been out of service since January 2012. It is one of the largest power plants in the state at a whopping 2,200 megawatts (equivalent to about four regular large-sized power plants), so its outage leaves a significant "hole" in the electric grid.
But it turns out California doesn't actually need the energy the SONGS plant could have produced right now, because consumers have been taking advantage of incentives to use energy more efficiently, significant amounts of renewable energy has come online in recent years, and we already have more than enough other power plants to meet our needs. Instead, the grid needs the "voltage support" SONGS used to provide.
Since a major part of the Southern California electric grid was built around SONGS, it is a lot harder for the transmission grid to remain stable without the plant operating and providing that voltage support. This all gets very technical fast, but the important thing to know is that there are different ways to provide voltage support (and they don't all require burning fossil fuels at a power plant). So even though one might expect the state to fill the hole left by SONGS with more dirty power plants, this year the state is taking a better and cleaner approach.
Doing Without SONGS' Generation
Electric demand and supply need to be in constant balance at all times, which can be done by adjusting generation or asking customers to use less electricity at peak times (in fact, the state's Independent System Operator (ISO) is counting on nearly 2,000 megawatts of "demand response" from the many customers in Southern California that have taken advantage of incentives to reduce load when needed).
In order to keep the lights on, the ISO needs to have more generation available than consumers are expected to use. This is known as a "reserve margin," and the California Public Utilities Commission requires the utilities to plan for a 15% cushion. And the state already has more power plants than we need to pass that test. This summer, the ISO expects to easily exceed that margin under normal conditions, and to still avoid rolling blackouts even under extreme conditions (like if a lot of power plants go down unexpectedly at the same time customers' demand is unusually high).

Source: ISO (Note: SP 26 and NP 26 are roughly Southern and Northern California, respectively)
Providing Voltage Support Without More Dirty Generation
Last summer, with little time to react to the San Onofre plant's outage, the state brought back retired 50-year-old gas-fired generators at Huntington Beach. Even though we didn't need its energy because we already had more than enough other power plants, the Huntington Beach plant was pulled out of retirement in order to provide the necessary voltage support (and of course emitted air pollution in the process). This year, that plant is instead being converted into "synchronous condensers," which provide voltage support without onsite emissions. (The synchronous condensers operate like electric motors and use a small amount of energy from the grid in the process.) Other emissions-free efforts to fill the hole left by SONGS include installation of capacitors and upgrades to a local transmission line so that if the line has a problem, only part of it goes down instead of the whole thing.
OK, this is where my geeky side that gets excited about this technical stuff should probably give you a break, but the long and short of it is that California is on track to replace SONGS this summer by making the grid more resilient instead of adding more dirty power plants.
What Can We Do to Help?
Even though the ISO expects to be able to keep the lights on this summer, there's always the possibility that heat waves, fires, or other issues could threaten reliability. Everyone in the Los Angeles and San Diego areas can help avoid the need for rolling blackouts by upgrading the efficiency of homes and businesses, and avoiding using energy at peak times when the grid is stressed. Sign up for Flex Alerts to get notified on the days when conserving can make the biggest difference.
What's the Long-Term Solution?
It is still unknown whether SONGS will ever return to service. (See my colleague Jordan Weaver's blog for a discussion of the need for a public process at the Nuclear Regulatory Commission before it considers restarting the plant.)
Even though SONGS' power isn't needed this year, the state's last analysis of how needs will be met over the coming decade counted on the nuclear plant as part of the mix. As a result, the California Public Utilities Commission, which regulates the state's major utilities including the SONGS' owners (Southern California Edison and San Diego Gas and Electric), is about to kick off a public process to examine how the state should fill the gap over the coming decade if SONGS does not return to service.
The Public Utilities Commission should continue to build on the great start made this year by requiring utilities to fill the gap with efficient and clean resources by:

• making the electric grid more resilient through transmission system upgrades;
• adding renewable resources in different geographic regions to take advantage of the different times when they're available; and
• avoiding new generation through more aggressive efforts to help customers:
  • improve the efficiency of their homes and businesses;
  • reduce consumption during costly "peak" periods; and
  • use clean on-site generation like solar panels.

After all, while people may have differing views about a power plant, who can argue with more comfortable homes and productive workplaces - and cleaner air?

http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/dwang/replacing_songs.htm

U.S. Regains Missile Parts; Gates Orders Investigation

Geez, here we are at it again. First they "mistakenly" send a bomber with nuclear weapons on board when it wasn't supposed to be carrying nukes -- now a shipment of nuclear missile parts have been "mistakenly" sent to Taiwan as part of an arms shipment.

Quote:

The U.S. military has regained control of four non-nuclear nose cone assemblies for a Minuteman missile mistakenly sent to Taiwan in 2006

"Regained control of" is a spin job. To regain control of something they had to have lost that thing in the first place. Whew, they got the things back, but the fact is they lost these things.

Quote:

The nose cone assemblies and associated electrical parts are proximity fuses for the missiles. While not technically “triggers,” a nuclear warhead atop a Minuteman would not detonate without the signal from these devices.

Preliminary information indicates that a shipment took place in response to a foreign military sales order from Taiwan for helicopter batteries, Wynne said. The Defense Logistics Agency depot at Hill Air Force Base, Utah, mistakenly shipped the fuses -- a classified system -- rather than the batteries.

The press release links to the LGM-30 MINUTEMAN III fact sheet where we learn these are part of a silo-launched guided missile, part of the Minuteman system. These are intercontinental missiles which were designed in the 1950's. Whatever the truth of losing these parts, it's likely a pure mistake rather than some kind of subtle strategy of arming Taiwan against threats from Mainland China. Minuteman missiles are not usable by Taiwan, however if those parts were to instead been sent to the Mainland China government this would have been bad in some way.

The problem here is that nuclear technology is so dangerous that it has to be strictly controlled. A genie has been let out, a genie that is willing to grant "wishes" in the form of destroyed cities and millions of dead people.

I keep thinking these weapons are so dangerous that any risk that these weapons will be used is too great, and that they simply should not exist. Any accident or any overly aggressive political leader could cause the use of these weapons, with disastrous effect.

In this case the parts were surplus (declared 'excess') and were in a warehouse. Taiwan had ordered some "helicopter batteries" and were instead shipped these fuses. According to several articles there are procedures in place which would have prevented these parts from being lost.. specifically there are inventory checks which are supposed to happen every 3 months. Somehow the inventory checks did not discover that some missile parts had been lost. Instead it was the Taiwan military who didn't recognize what they had received, and asked what it was they'd been sent.

Article Reference: 

U.S. Regains Missile Parts; Gates Orders Investigation

LGM-30 MINUTEMAN III

U.S. says missile parts mistakenly sent to Taiwan

Nothing Like This Can Happen

US investigates Taiwan arms error

U.S. mistakenly sent nuclear missile fuses to Taiwan

Pentagon Admits Mistaken Arms Parts Shipment

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGM-30_Minuteman

Minot AF Base

TRW Systems. (2001) Minuteman Weapon System History and Description.

http://nuclearweaponarchive.org/Usa/Weapons/Mmiii.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Nuclear_weapons

http://www.techbastard.com/missile/minuteman/index.php

Minuteman Missile History

http://www.designation-systems.net/dusrm/m-30.html

extvideo: 

Nuclear proliferation in the wake of Iran

Six Arab states join rush to go nuclear This is a Times of London article discussing six Arab countries who have announced their intention to build nuclear reactors, and presumably move to join the list of countries possessing nuclear weapons. One stated reason is for desalination. I flew over the Gulf region last year, and from 45,000 feet the whole area sure looked to be exceedingly dry. They have long wanted a source of non-salty water. Though, nuclear power seems to be a curious way to achieve that goal.

The countries are: Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia.

The article clearly links this move with Iran's budding nuclear program. Pakistan and Israel are known to have nuclear weapons, and it's likely that Iran will also have them in a few years. These other countries surely will feel threatened by that, and seek to have these weapons themselves.

The question then is, what will come of this growing presence of nuclear weaponry? The fear with nuclear proliferation has long been that it's a slippery slope until eventually some power-mad world leader who doesn't care about the consequences will use their "ultimate weapon".

That's a scary thought, but I think the example GW Bush shows us is that the power-mad world leader need not be the stereotype we've been fed. Namely, it might not be the uneducated third world leader but it might be the fundamentalist American who thinks they're hastening Armageddon and therefore bringing about the New Heaven and New Earth promised in the Book of Revelations.

Depleted Uranium sickening American troops

U.S. Soldiers Are Sick of It discusses American troops being strangely sick, and pointing the finger at the use of Depleted Uranium munitions as the cause.